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Thursday, November 5, 2026Local news for Tarpon Springs and Florida.
Tarpon Springs Herald · 123 E Tarpon Avenue, Tarpon Springs, FL 34689
News · Pensacola

Florida Weather Splits Halloween Weekend: Dry Saturday, Stormy Sunday

A developing weather system shifts conditions from dry trick-or-treating on the 31st to heavy rain and flooding risks by November 1.

By Jason Lee ·

Illustration for: Florida Weather Splits Halloween Weekend: Dry Saturday, Stormy Sunday
Illustration generated for this article, not a news photograph.

Florida residents face a sharp division in weather patterns across the Halloween holiday weekend. Saturday offers favorable conditions for outdoor activities, while Sunday brings a marked increase in moisture and storm potential. The shift is driven by a developing weather system moving into the state.

Much of Florida will experience dry stretches on Saturday evening. Central and North Florida are expected to have good conditions for festivities. South Florida will remain warm and humid. Isolated showers are possible, particularly across the Panhandle. Families in coastal communities are advised to monitor local radar for quick-developing showers.

The outlook turns wetter by Sunday. Increasing clouds, showers, and thunderstorms will make conditions more unsettled. The greatest concern for heavy rainfall lies in portions of Central and South Florida. The National Weather Service warns that repeated rounds of heavy rain could produce localized flooding.

In South Florida, afternoon highs will generally reach the lower to mid-80s on Saturday. A mix of sunshine and clouds is expected, with a few passing showers possible. By Sunday, rain chances will increase as additional moisture spreads across the region. Periods of heavy rainfall and thunderstorms could develop, particularly along the Atlantic coast. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are possible through Monday, with locally higher amounts. Coastal flooding remains a concern in vulnerable neighborhoods of Miami-Dade and Broward counties, especially around high tide.

Central Florida will see a warm and breezy Saturday with highs in the lower to mid-80s. Fast-moving showers may develop along the Atlantic coast, but widespread rainfall is not expected during evening hours. Gusty easterly winds will remain noticeable near the beaches. By Sunday, rain chances could climb to 60% to 80% across portions of the region. Widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms will move through the area. Some isolated spots could experience flooding.

North Florida will enjoy comfortable temperatures on Saturday. Afternoon temperatures should climb into the lower 80s inland, including in Gainesville and Ocala. Coastal communities around Jacksonville and St. Augustine will generally remain in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees. Partly sunny skies and low rain chances should support Halloween events inland. Northeast winds will continue to produce rough surf and elevated water levels along the Atlantic coast and St. Johns River basin. By Sunday, clouds will increase and showers or thunderstorms will become more likely. High temperatures will generally settle into the upper 70s and lower 80s.

The Florida Panhandle will see a changing weather pattern as a frontal boundary brings more clouds and scattered showers. Saturday afternoon highs will generally be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Some showers and thunderstorms are possible near the coast and over the Gulf. More widespread rainfall is expected Sunday, with rain chances of 30% to 60%, highest along and south of Interstate 10. Some areas could see rainfall totals of about a quarter to half an inch, with isolated locations receiving up to an inch. Cloud cover and rainfall will bring cooler temperatures Sunday, with afternoon highs mainly in the mid-to-upper 70s. Boaters should remain cautious due to persistent easterly winds and rough marine conditions.

Daylight saving time ends at 2 a.m. on Sunday, November 1. Clocks will move back one hour. This change gives most Floridians an extra hour of sleep and brings earlier sunsets as November begins.

Source: WUWF

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